Angels are getting roughly what they deserve. 2 points vs 2.3 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.
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2
Wins
Expected: 2.3
27
Runs Scored
Expected: 2.3
29
Runs Allowed
0.3
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.296 vs xwOBA 0.280 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+24
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
-12
Diff Consistency
Run differential per game says they should be winning more
-8
Pitching Luck
ERA 3.99 vs xERA 4.21 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
-1
Win% Gap
Win rate is lower than what their run differential deserves
0
Total Luck Index+3
What to Expect Next
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|37 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Angels are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of +2 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available
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