What is the La Liga Luck Index?

The La Liga Luck Index uses expected goals (xG) from API-Football to measure which Spanish league teams have more or fewer points than their performance deserves.

Which La Liga team is the unluckiest?

Check the rankings above sorted by 'Most Unlucky'. The team at the top has been most robbed by luck this season.

⚽ La Liga Luck Index Rankings

The La Liga Luck Index ranks all 20 Spanish league teams using expected goals (xG) and expected points (xPTS). Which La Liga teams are overperforming? Which are getting robbed? From Barcelona and Real Madrid to the relegation battle, the Luck Index reveals who deserves their position and who doesn't.

Season

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RK	Team	Pos	Record	Luck Index	Highlight
☠ Cursed
1	Athletic Club La Liga · 38 pts	7	11W 5D 13L	-74	☠ Cursed Scored 10 fewer than xG (32 from 41.6 xG). 8.6 pts below expected.
2	Rayo Vallecano La Liga · 35 pts	12	8W 11D 11L	-47	☠ Cursed Scored 12 fewer than xG (29 from 40.95 xG). 8.6 pts below expected.
3	Oviedo La Liga · 21 pts	20	4W 9D 16L	-43	☠ Cursed Scored 8 fewer than xG (20 from 28.19 xG). 6.7 pts below expected.
4	Valencia La Liga · 35 pts	13	9W 8D 12L	-41	☠ Cursed Scored 5 fewer than xG (32 from 37.29 xG). 7.7 pts below expected.
↓ Unlucky
5	Girona La Liga · 34 pts	14	8W 10D 11L	-22	↓ Unlucky Scored 6 fewer than xG (31 from 36.67 xG). 0.9 pts below expected.
6	Alaves La Liga · 31 pts	15	8W 7D 14L	-21	↓ Unlucky Scored 4 fewer than xG (30 from 34.09 xG). 5.7 pts below expected.
— Neutral
7	Levante La Liga · 26 pts	19	6W 8D 15L	-13	— Neutral 6.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
8	Real Sociedad La Liga · 38 pts	8	10W 8D 11L	-2	— Neutral 1.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
9	Sevilla La Liga · 31 pts	16	8W 7D 14L	-2	— Neutral Scored 7 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 2.3 extra pts.
10	Real Betis La Liga · 44 pts	5	11W 11D 7L	-1	— Neutral 2.1 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
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11	Espanyol La Liga · 37 pts	10	10W 7D 12L	+7	— Neutral 1.3 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
12	Getafe La Liga · 38 pts	9	11W 5D 13L	+7	— Neutral 5.3 points above expected.
↑ Lucky
13	Mallorca La Liga · 28 pts	18	7W 7D 15L	+16	↑ Lucky 1.6 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
14	Osasuna La Liga · 37 pts	11	10W 7D 12L	+17	↑ Lucky 0.3 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
15	Elche La Liga · 29 pts	17	6W 11D 13L	+18	↑ Lucky 3.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
16	Real Madrid La Liga · 69 pts	2	22W 3D 4L	+28	↑ Lucky 11.0 points above expected.
17	Celta Vigo La Liga · 41 pts	6	10W 11D 8L	+32	↑ Lucky 2.0 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
18	Villarreal La Liga · 58 pts	3	18W 4D 7L	+35	↑ Lucky Scored 8 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 12.1 extra pts.
✦ Blessed
19	Barcelona La Liga · 73 pts	1	24W 1D 4L	+50	✦ Blessed Scored 5 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 16.0 extra pts.
20	Atletico Madrid La Liga · 57 pts	4	17W 6D 6L	+54	✦ Blessed Scored 4 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 10.5 extra pts.

Frequently Asked Questions

Luck Index Evolution

How each team's Luck Index has changed throughout the season

Above zero = lucky. Below zero = unlucky. Scale: -100 (cursed) to +100 (blessed).