Athletics are getting roughly what they deserve. 0 points vs 1 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.
728 x 90ADVERTISEMENT
0
Wins
Expected: 1
11
Runs Scored
Expected: 1
20
Runs Allowed
1
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-30
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.312 vs xwOBA 0.297 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+17
Diff Consistency
Run differential per game says they should be winning more
-14
Pitching Luck
ERA 5.76 vs xERA 5.38 - pitchers allowing more runs than contact quality suggests
-7
Win% Gap
Win rate is lower than what their run differential deserves
0
Total Luck Index-34
What to Expect Next
Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable|38 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
At -35, Athletics are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 1 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available
728 x 90ADVERTISEMENT