Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets Luck Index

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

-5
Luck Index Score

Brooklyn Nets are getting roughly what they deserve. 18 points vs 17.5 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

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18
Wins
Expected: 17.5
8166
Points For
Expected: 17.5
8916
Points Against
0.5
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Luck Index Evolution

How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match of the Season
Matchweek 34 · 2026-01-08 · vs Orlando Magic · at home
103-104
Lost at home against Orlando Magic

One of those games where nothing went right. Brooklyn Nets created 103 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 103 goals on an average day. They scored 103. The model valued this match at 0.5 points for Brooklyn Nets. They got 0. That's 0.5 points of bad luck in 48 minutes.

103
xG Created
104
Opp. xG
-0.5
Pts Lost

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW34 · 2026-01-08 · vs Orlando Magic · Home-0.5 pts
Lost 103-104 to Orlando Magic. A 1-point game that could have gone either way.
Score: 103-104 | xG: 103-104
MW70 · 2026-03-20 · vs New York Knicks · Home-0.5 pts
Lost 92-93 to New York Knicks. A 1-point game that could have gone either way.
Score: 92-93 | xG: 92-93
MW5 · 2025-10-29 · vs Atlanta Hawks · Home-0.4 pts
Lost to Atlanta Hawks 112-117.
Score: 112-117 | xG: 112-117

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Detroit Pistons · Away+0.4 pts
Edged Detroit Pistons 107-105. A nail-biter decided by 2 points.
Score: 107-105 | xG: 107-105
MW39 · 2026-01-17 · vs Chicago Bulls · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Chicago Bulls 112-109. A nail-biter decided by 3 points.
Score: 112-109 | xG: 112-109
MW52 · 2026-02-10 · vs Chicago Bulls · Home+0.3 pts
Beat Chicago Bulls 123-115.
Score: 123-115 | xG: 123-115

What's Driving the Luck Index

Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.

Shot Quality Luck
Shooting 2.3% below expected from shot locations (52.2% eFG vs 54.5% xeFG)
-18
Diff Consistency
Winning more than their per-game margin suggests - efficient in tight spots
+7
Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their point differential predicts
+4
Win% Gap
Winning at a higher rate than their scoring margin supports
+2
Total Luck Index-5

What to Expect Next

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|5 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Brooklyn Nets are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of -5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available

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