Columbus Blue Jackets

Columbus Blue Jackets Luck Index

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+12
Luck Index Score

Columbus Blue Jackets are getting roughly what they deserve. 88 points vs 87.3 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

728 x 90ADVERTISEMENT
88
Points
Expected: 87.3
240
Goals For
Expected: 87.3
236
Goals Against
0.7
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Luck Index Evolution

How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match of the Season
Matchweek 14 · 2025-11-08 · vs Vancouver Canucks · away
3-4
Lost away against Vancouver Canucks

One of those games where nothing went right. Columbus Blue Jackets created 3 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 3 goals on an average day. They scored 3. The model valued this match at 0.9 points for Columbus Blue Jackets. They got 0. That's 0.9 points of bad luck in 60 minutes.

3
xG Created
4
Opp. xG
-0.9
Pts Lost

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW14 · 2025-11-08 · vs Vancouver Canucks · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Vancouver Canucks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4 | xG: 3-4
MW35 · 2025-12-20 · vs Anaheim Ducks · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Anaheim Ducks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4 | xG: 3-4
MW3 · 2025-10-13 · vs New Jersey Devils · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 2-3

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW59 · 2026-03-02 · vs New York Rangers · Away+0.9 pts
Edged New York Rangers 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4 | xG: 5-4
MW48 · 2026-01-17 · vs Pittsburgh Penguins · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3 | xG: 4-3
MW33 · 2025-12-16 · vs Anaheim Ducks · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3 | xG: 4-3

What's Driving the Luck Index

Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.

Shootout Record
6-2 in shootouts (net +4)
+12
Close Games
17-22 in one-goal games (44% win rate vs expected 50%)
-8
OT Loss Rate
12 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+5
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+4
Total Luck Index+13

What to Expect Next

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: declining|6 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Columbus Blue Jackets are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of +12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available

728 x 90ADVERTISEMENT