Giants are getting roughly what they deserve. 1 points vs 0.3 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.
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1
Wins
Expected: 0.3
4
Runs Scored
Expected: 0.3
15
Runs Allowed
0.7
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their run differential predicts
+14
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.250 vs xwOBA 0.263 - hard contact not converting into hits
-12
Pitching Luck
ERA 5.42 vs xERA 4.92 - pitchers allowing more runs than contact quality suggests
-9
Diff Consistency
Run differential per game says they should be winning more
-3
Win% Gap
Win rate is lower than what their run differential deserves
0
Total Luck Index-10
What to Expect Next
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|37 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Giants are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of -10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available
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