Los Angeles Kings

Los Angeles Kings Luck Index

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+15
Luck Index Score

Los Angeles Kings have had fortune smiling on them. 4.9 points above what the data says they deserve. Not outrageous, but don't be surprised when the wheels start wobbling.

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79
Points
Expected: 74.1
201
Goals For
Expected: 74.1
228
Goals Against
4.9
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Luck Index Evolution

How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match of the Season
Matchweek 62 · 2026-03-07 · vs Montréal Canadiens · at home
3-4
Lost at home against Montréal Canadiens

One of those games where nothing went right. Los Angeles Kings created 3 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 3 goals on an average day. They scored 3. The model valued this match at 0.9 points for Los Angeles Kings. They got 0. That's 0.9 points of bad luck in 60 minutes.

3
xG Created
4
Opp. xG
-0.9
Pts Lost

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW62 · 2026-03-07 · vs Montréal Canadiens · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4 | xG: 3-4
MW3 · 2025-10-11 · vs Winnipeg Jets · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Winnipeg Jets. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 2-3
MW33 · 2025-12-17 · vs Florida Panthers · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Florida Panthers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 2-3

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW63 · 2026-03-09 · vs Columbus Blue Jackets · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4 | xG: 5-4
MW50 · 2026-01-24 · vs St. Louis Blues · Away+0.9 pts
Edged St. Louis Blues 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4 | xG: 5-4
MW49 · 2026-01-20 · vs New York Rangers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged New York Rangers 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3 | xG: 4-3

What's Driving the Luck Index

Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
5 more points than their goal differential predicts
+26
Shootout Record
4-9 in shootouts (net -5)
-15
OT Loss Rate
19 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+15
Close Games
18-25 in one-goal games (42% win rate vs expected 50%)
-11
Total Luck Index+15

What to Expect Next

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|7 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Los Angeles Kings are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of +15 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available

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