Newcastle can't catch a break. 42 points when they deserve 46.24? That's 4.24 points stolen by the football gods. 13 losses, many of them undeserved based on the chances created. If luck were a stat, they'd be bottom of the table.
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
A shutout loss that the numbers say should never have happened. Newcastle created 2.18 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 2 goals on an average day. They scored 0. The model valued this match at 2.0 points for Newcastle. They got 0. That's 2.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
What to Expect Next
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsNewcastle are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of -9 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.