Tottenham can't catch a break. 30 points when they deserve 35.07? That's 5.07 points stolen by the football gods. 15 losses, many of them undeserved based on the chances created. If luck were a stat, they'd be bottom of the table.
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
One of those games where nothing went right. Aston Villa created almost nothing - just 0.32 xG - but scored 2 goals. The model valued this match at 1.7 points for Tottenham. They got 0. That's 1.7 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
What to Expect Next
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsAt -23, Tottenham are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 5 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.