White Sox are getting roughly what they deserve. 1 points vs 1.1 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.
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1
Wins
Expected: 1.1
19
Runs Scored
Expected: 1.1
33
Runs Allowed
0.1
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.294 vs xwOBA 0.276 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+21
Pitching Luck
ERA 6.78 vs xERA 5.35 - pitchers allowing more runs than contact quality suggests
-18
Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their run differential predicts
+16
Win% Gap
Win rate is lower than what their run differential deserves
0
Diff Consistency
Run differential per game says they should be winning more
0
Total Luck Index+19
What to Expect Next
Regression Outlook
Correction Probable
Last 5: stable|37 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
White Sox are riding their luck at +19. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming. A dip in form is probable.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available
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