Wolves are the definition of "we deserved more." With 17 points from 31.54 expected, they've been robbed of 14.54 points this season. 8 draws tell the story - they're dominating matches and walking away with crumbs. The worst part? They've scored 4 fewer goals than their xG suggests. The finishing is cursed. Genuinely, cosmically cursed.
Luck Index Evolution
How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season
A defeat that defied the run of play. Wolves generated 1.78 xG, comfortably more than the 0.48 their opponent managed. Leeds created almost nothing - just 0.48 xG - but scored 3 goals. The model valued this match at 2.3 points for Wolves. They got 0. That's 2.3 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
What's Driving the Luck Index
Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.
What to Expect Next
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWolves are deeply cursed at -55. This level of underperformance almost never persists. The data they're generating - the chances created, the shots taken, the defensive work - all point to a team better than their record. Regression to the mean is one of the most reliable forces in sports.